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5
Chapter
lternative Pathways for Africa
Business as Usual or a Green Agenda?
To map the motivating factors for green growth and green industrialization in Africa and, more specifically, to identify points of entry for green growth interventions, as introduced in the previous three chapters, the first step is charting the socioeconomic futures of Africa and its subregions. One way of thinking about the future is through the use of scenarios.
The two scenarios developed for this analysis are designed to stimulate answers to questions such as, what will happen if we continue in a business as usual (BAU) fashion? What if we switch to a green agenda (GA)? In other words, what will happen if current growth trajectories continue, with uneven patterns of development and sporadic approaches to natural resource, waste and energy management? Alternatively, what could happen if Africa’s industrialization was greened, using targeted improvements to urbanization, energy developments, population growth and changes to the very basis of our economies?
